Only two days to the elections in Britain and the challenge among candidates is on each single vote. The Conservative candidate, David Cameron, appears on the verge of triumph, according to the latest polls, but the uncertainty is still very high. The differences among the three candidates are so small that even a wrong prediction of one percentage point can overturn the forecasts. The uncertain voters could be decisive in choosing the next prime minister.
The only real certainty should be the defeat of Prime Minister Gordon Brown. Even if his party, the Labour, were to finish second, no one will forgive this blatant loss of electoral support. That’s why someone says the party is already looking for the successor, a charismatic one as was Blair at the beginning. The former British prime minister, a few days ago, tried to help Gordon Brown saying that "he was not a failure" and that "the Labour won’t get third."
He could be right, at least at this point, according to last survey carried out by the ICM opinion poll for The Guardian: Cameron is leading with 33 percent of the votes but still far from convincing a majority of voters to stand by his side. But above all, the poll is interesting because it shows how the Labour Party, led by Prime Minister Gordon Brown, and the Liberal Democrats, led by Nick Clegg, were tied with 28 per cent each.
During past elections, this time the victory was virtually allocated and it’s new that today still nothing has been decided. Cameron, in the meanwhile, has already signed "the contract with voters”: 16 promises he has undertaken to keep with the people and he sent it to 2 million families in the most important constituencies.
The Liberal Democrat Nick Clegg is the unexpected odd man who steals consensus from both sides: that’s why the Tories could end up being the winning party without a majority, forced to resign the government to a possible alliance between the Labour and Liberals. This hypothesis could save Brown from a disaster but Clegg has already said to be available for an alliance only if he will be the prime minister.
In recent years the government of Gordon Brown failed to be loved by the British and in recent weeks, collecting one gaffe after another, he has worsened the situation so as not to convince voters even with the debate on the economy, which should have been his masterpiece. He lost support from his constituents and from those newspapers that have always supported the Labour Party. So after The Guardian, another newspaper historically close to the Labour party, The Observer, urged its readers to vote for Clegg instead of Brown. While the influential Economist, that had supported Tony Blair, this time chooses David Cameron because "he is able, more than the others, to give the right answer to the problems of the country." The Tory leader has been chosen because the country needs a change (the same one helped the Labour win in 1997) since the current Government is tired, has no plans and is bent by the scandals.
Cameron, however, does not trust the polls. That’s why he is issuing statements to all the voters: from the promise to guarantee equal rights to gay people, to the one "we will never be in the euro countries" avoiding the Greece epilogue. It seems the defence of the pound has warmed the hearts, but it may not be enough for a country that today has a debt of 170 billion pounds, equal to 11 percent of gross domestic product.
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